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Compare Freiburg vs Napredak

Freiburg vs Napredak Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Napredak: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Napredak Napredak Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Napredak
25.8
W L L L L L L L D L

Categories Won

14

Freiburg

1

Draw

0

Napredak

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Napredak

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 1D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-16

-16

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
N. Bogdanovski (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

41.4

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 55.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

0.82

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

25.8

Attack: 24.4, Defense: 18.3, Form: 9.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
5

16-30'

4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

3
Freiburg
Napredak
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Napredak

Power Rating Breakdown

25.8

Overall

Attack 24.4
Defense 18.3
Form 9.1
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 55.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Napredak logo Napredak
W
Spartak (33%)
L
Radnički Niš (44%)
L
Javor (56%)
L
FK IMT (58%)
L
TSC (60%)
L
Mladost Lučani (53%)
L
TSC (56%)
L
Vojvodina (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spartak A
3 - 0 W
33%
Radnički Niš H
0 - 1 L
44%
Javor A
0 - 4 L
56%
FK IMT H
0 - 1 L
58%
TSC A
1 - 4 L
60%
Mladost Lučani A
0 - 2 L
53%
TSC H
1 - 2 L
56%
Vojvodina A
1 - 4 L
68%
OFK H
2 - 2 D
53%
Red Star A
0 - 4 L
74%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.6) compared to Napredak (SoS: 41.4). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Napredak's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Freiburg is far superior, conceding just 1.5 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Napredak leaks 2.4 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Freiburg is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (64.4), defense (56.8), and form (56.8) leaves little room for doubt. Napredak will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Napredak

Napredak

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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