Skip to content
Compare Freiburg vs St. Pauli

Freiburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

11

Freiburg

3

Draw

1

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Freiburg
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5

16-30'

2
4

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

2
Freiburg
St. Pauli
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 33%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.6 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg's attack is on another level, averaging 1.7 goals per match with I. Matanović leading the charge with 3 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Freiburg conceding 1.5 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 34.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-03-22), Freiburg beat St. Pauli 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Freiburg achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against St. Pauli shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. St. Pauli will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Freiburg will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Popular Teams

We use cookies & local storage to enhance your experience. Learn more