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Compare Freiburg vs Thun

Freiburg vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Thun Thun Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Thun
41.4
L L L W L L W W D W

Categories Won

11

Freiburg

4

Draw

0

Thun

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Thun

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
E. Rastoder (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

37.5

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 51.2

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.37

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.23

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

41.4

Attack: 46.7, Defense: 43.8, Form: 35.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

4
2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

2
Freiburg
Thun
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 46.7
Defense 43.8
Form 35.0
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 51.2

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Thun logo Thun
L
Sion (70%)
L
Basel (55%)
L
Lugano (54%)
W
Basel (50%)
L
Lugano (55%)
L
Zürich (38%)
W
GC Zürich (27%)
W
Young Boys (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sion A
0 - 2 L
70%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
55%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
54%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
50%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
55%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
27%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
56%
St.Gallen H
2 - 2 D
55%
Luzern H
2 - 1 W
52%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.6) compared to Thun (SoS: 37.5). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Freiburg averaging 1.7 and Thun averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Freiburg conceding 1.5 and Thun conceding 1.5 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 41.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Thun

Thun

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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