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Compare Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Freiburg vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Union Berlin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Union Berlin Union Berlin Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Union Berlin
38.8
W D L L L D L W L L

Categories Won

10

Freiburg

3

Draw

2

Union Berlin

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Union Berlin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

20%

2W, 2D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
O. Burke (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

72.2

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.55

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.45

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

38.8

Attack: 44.8, Defense: 36.7, Form: 24.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5

16-30'

1
4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

6
Freiburg
Union Berlin
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Union Berlin

Power Rating Breakdown

38.8

Overall

Attack 44.8
Defense 36.7
Form 24.4
Consistency 59.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 50%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Union Berlin logo Union Berlin
W
Mainz 05 (70%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Bayern Munich (86%)
W
Freiburg (72%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Mainz 05 A
3 - 1 W
70%
Köln H
2 - 2 D
57%
Leipzig A
1 - 3 L
84%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 2 L
50%
Heidenheim A
1 - 3 L
67%
St. Pauli H
1 - 1 D
50%
Bayern Munich A
0 - 4 L
86%
Freiburg A
1 - 0 W
72%
Bremen H
1 - 4 L
62%
M'gladbach A
0 - 1 L
68%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.6 vs 72.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Union Berlin's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Freiburg has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Union Berlin's 2.1.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Union Berlin has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 38.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-03-15), Union Berlin beat Freiburg 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Union Berlin achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Freiburg shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Freiburg will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Union Berlin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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