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Compare Freiburg vs Varaždin

Freiburg vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Freiburg vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Freiburg Freiburg Home Team
Varaždin Varaždin Away Team
Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Varaždin
42.1
D L L W W W D L W D

Categories Won

9

Freiburg

3

Draw

3

Varaždin

Performance Radar

Freiburg
Varaždin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
I. Matanović (3 goals)
A. Latković (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
75%

3W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

34.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

1.06

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

42.1

Attack: 36.7, Defense: 53.6, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
5

16-30'

3
4

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

1
Freiburg
Varaždin
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8
Varaždin

Power Rating Breakdown

42.1

Overall

Attack 36.7
Defense 53.6
Form 33.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

62.1 vs 47.4

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)
Varaždin logo Varaždin
D
Lokomotiva (44%)
L
Hajduk (58%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
W
Rijeka (44%)
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
D
Gorica (44%)
L
Istra (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lokomotiva H
1 - 1 D
44%
Hajduk A
1 - 3 L
58%
Dinamo Zagreb A
1 - 2 L
76%
Rijeka H
1 - 0 W
44%
Osijek A
2 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
2 - 1 W
35%
Gorica H
1 - 1 D
44%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
46%
Vukovar H
2 - 0 W
32%
Lokomotiva A
1 - 1 D
49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.6) compared to Varaždin (SoS: 34.6). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Varaždin's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Varaždin has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Freiburg's 1.5.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Freiburg

Freiburg

VS
Varaždin

Varaždin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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