Compare Genk vs Nacional

Genk vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Genk vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Genk Home Team

Nacional Away Team

Genk

50.6

W L D D W D W D L W

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

Genk

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

Genk

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

5 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

A. Bibout (4 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

56.0

League Difficulty: 60.6, Opponent Quality: 52.9

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 0 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.07

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

50.6

Attack: 56.5, Defense: 49.5, Form: 42.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Genk

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

50.6

Overall

Attack 56.5

Defense 49.5

Form 42.4

Consistency 56.8

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.6 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

52.9 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Genk

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Westerlo H

Belgian First Division A

3 - 0 W

45%

Charleroi A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 2 L

51%

Standard H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 1 D

55%

Charleroi H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 1 D

46%

Westerlo A

Belgian First Division A

2 - 1 W

50%

OHL H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 0 D

47%

Antwerp A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 1 W

57%

La Louvière A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

5 - 5 D

54%

Freiburg A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 5 L

69%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

55%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.0 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Genk holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Genk's 1.6.

Genk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Genk has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Genk

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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