Compare Hamburg vs AEK Athens

Hamburg vs AEK Athens Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamburg vs AEK Athens: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamburg Home Team

AEK Athens Away Team

Hamburg

41.5

W W L L L D L D W L

Last 10 Matches

AEK Athens

66.5

W D W W L W W L D W

Categories Won

Hamburg

Draw

AEK Athens

Performance Radar

Hamburg

AEK Athens

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.9

19 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-6

Clean Sheet

0 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

80%

8 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

R. Glatzel (2 goals)

Zine (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8

Home Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

59.8

League Difficulty: 64.8, Opponent Quality: 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

1.89

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.09

Adjusted Power Rating

41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

66.5

Attack: 65.9, Defense: 76.9, Form: 65.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Hamburg

AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5

Defense 40.2

Form 32.9

Consistency 49.3

Power Rating Breakdown

66.5

Overall

Attack 65.9

Defense 76.9

Form 65.9

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 64.8

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 61.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%

Hamburg

AEK Athens

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

3 - 2 W

67%

Frankfurt A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

67%

Hoffenheim H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

65%

Bremen A

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

67%

Stuttgart A

German Bundesliga

0 - 4 L

75%

Augsburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

66%

Dortmund A

German Bundesliga

2 - 3 L

76%

Köln H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

57%

Wolfsburg A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Leverkusen H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

65%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Panathinaikos H

Greek Super League

2 - 1 W

52%

Panathinaikos A

Greek Super League

0 - 0 D

57%

PAOK H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

54%

Rayo H

UEFA Conference League

3 - 1 W

68%

Rayo A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 3 L

73%

Olympiakos A

Greek Super League

1 - 0 W

61%

Kifisia H

Greek Super League

3 - 0 W

49%

Celje H

UEFA Conference League

0 - 2 L

67%

Atromitos A

Greek Super League

2 - 2 D

59%

Celje A

UEFA Conference League

4 - 0 W

70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.5 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Hamburg's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, AEK Athens is far superior, conceding just 0.9 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Hamburg leaks 1.9 per match.

The home advantage factor favors AEK Athens, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.5 vs 41.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamburg

AEK Athens

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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