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Compare Hamburg vs NEC

Hamburg vs NEC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamburg vs NEC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamburg Hamburg Home Team
NEC NEC Away Team
Hamburg
41.5
W W L L L D L D W L

Last 10 Matches

NEC
56.6
L D D D W D W W L D

Categories Won

1

Hamburg

5

Draw

9

NEC

Performance Radar

Hamburg
NEC

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

30%

3W, 5D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Glatzel (2 goals)
B. Linssen (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

67.5

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

2.04

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

56.6

Attack: 66.6, Defense: 66.6, Form: 35.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

4
5

31-45'

3
4

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

3

76-90+'

4
Hamburg
NEC
Hamburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5
Defense 40.2
Form 32.9
Consistency 49.3
NEC

Power Rating Breakdown

56.6

Overall

Attack 66.6
Defense 66.6
Form 35.2
Consistency 62.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Hamburg logo Hamburg
W
Freiburg (67%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
L
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Bremen (67%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
D
Augsburg (66%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
D
Köln (57%)
NEC logo NEC
L
Groningen (66%)
D
Telstar (64%)
D
Twente (81%)
D
Feyenoord (67%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
D
Heerenveen (67%)
W
PSV (80%)
W
Volendam (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Freiburg H
3 - 2 W
67%
Frankfurt A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bremen A
1 - 3 L
67%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%
Augsburg H
1 - 1 D
66%
Dortmund A
2 - 3 L
76%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Wolfsburg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Leverkusen H
0 - 1 L
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen A
1 - 2 L
66%
Telstar H
1 - 1 D
64%
Twente A
1 - 1 D
81%
Feyenoord H
1 - 1 D
67%
Excelsior A
2 - 0 W
60%
Heerenveen H
2 - 2 D
67%
PSV A
3 - 2 W
80%
Volendam H
3 - 0 W
49%
Fortuna H
2 - 3 L
56%
Ajax A
1 - 1 D
67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.5 vs 67.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

NEC holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Hamburg's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

NEC has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Hamburg's 1.9.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

NEC emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.6 vs 41.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamburg

Hamburg

VS
NEC

NEC

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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