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Compare Hamburg vs Sparta

Hamburg vs Sparta Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamburg vs Sparta: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamburg Hamburg Home Team
Sparta Sparta Away Team
Hamburg
41.5
W W L L L D L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Sparta
29.8
L D L L D W L D L L

Categories Won

10

Hamburg

2

Draw

3

Sparta

Performance Radar

Hamburg
Sparta

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-14

-14

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Glatzel (2 goals)
M. Zonneveld (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

55.1

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 65.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

0.98

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

29.8

Attack: 28.0, Defense: 28.0, Form: 10.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

5

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

76-90+'

3
Hamburg
Sparta
Hamburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5
Defense 40.2
Form 32.9
Consistency 49.3
Sparta

Power Rating Breakdown

29.8

Overall

Attack 28.0
Defense 28.0
Form 10.5
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 65.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hamburg logo Hamburg
W
Freiburg (67%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
L
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Bremen (67%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
D
Augsburg (66%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
D
Köln (57%)
Sparta logo Sparta
L
Twente (81%)
D
Go Ahead (66%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
PSV (75%)
D
NAC (54%)
W
Volendam (49%)
L
Ajax (67%)
D
Zwolle (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Freiburg H
3 - 2 W
67%
Frankfurt A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bremen A
1 - 3 L
67%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%
Augsburg H
1 - 1 D
66%
Dortmund A
2 - 3 L
76%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Wolfsburg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Leverkusen H
0 - 1 L
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Twente A
0 - 4 L
81%
Go Ahead H
2 - 2 D
66%
Telstar A
1 - 4 L
69%
PSV H
0 - 2 L
75%
NAC A
0 - 0 D
54%
Volendam H
2 - 0 W
49%
Ajax A
0 - 4 L
67%
Zwolle H
1 - 1 D
54%
Heerenveen A
1 - 2 L
72%
AZ A
1 - 3 L
72%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.5 vs 55.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Hamburg holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Sparta's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Hamburg has the defensive edge, conceding 1.9 per match compared to Sparta's 2.2.

Sparta has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Hamburg has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 11.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamburg

Hamburg

VS
Sparta

Sparta

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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