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Compare Hamburg vs Winterthur

Hamburg vs Winterthur Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamburg vs Winterthur: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamburg Hamburg Home Team
Winterthur Winterthur Away Team
Hamburg
41.5
W W L L L D L D W L

Last 10 Matches

Winterthur
33.7
L W D L L L L W D D

Categories Won

7

Hamburg

6

Draw

2

Winterthur

Performance Radar

Hamburg
Winterthur

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
0%

0 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Glatzel (2 goals)
N. Burkart (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.5

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 66.0

36.6

League Difficulty: 49.0, Opponent Quality: 48.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.67

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.37

1.46

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.06

Adjusted Power Rating
41.5

Attack: 47.5, Defense: 40.2, Form: 32.9

33.7

Attack: 40.4, Defense: 28.9, Form: 17.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
1

16-30'

1
5

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

1

76-90+'

1
Hamburg
Winterthur
Hamburg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.5

Overall

Attack 47.5
Defense 40.2
Form 32.9
Consistency 49.3
Winterthur

Power Rating Breakdown

33.7

Overall

Attack 40.4
Defense 28.9
Form 17.3
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 49.0

Opponent Quality

66.0 vs 48.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hamburg logo Hamburg
W
Freiburg (67%)
W
Frankfurt (67%)
L
Hoffenheim (65%)
L
Bremen (67%)
L
Stuttgart (75%)
D
Augsburg (66%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
D
Köln (57%)
Winterthur logo Winterthur
L
GC Zürich (36%)
W
Lausanne (42%)
D
Zürich (37%)
L
Servette (70%)
L
GC Zürich (27%)
L
Lausanne (43%)
L
Basel (46%)
W
Luzern (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Freiburg H
3 - 2 W
67%
Frankfurt A
2 - 1 W
67%
Hoffenheim H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bremen A
1 - 3 L
67%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%
Augsburg H
1 - 1 D
66%
Dortmund A
2 - 3 L
76%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Wolfsburg A
2 - 1 W
55%
Leverkusen H
0 - 1 L
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
GC Zürich A
2 - 3 L
36%
Lausanne H
2 - 1 W
42%
Zürich H
2 - 2 D
37%
Servette A
3 - 5 L
70%
GC Zürich H
0 - 2 L
27%
Lausanne A
1 - 2 L
43%
Basel H
0 - 2 L
46%
Luzern A
2 - 1 W
57%
Sion A
1 - 1 D
66%
Servette H
1 - 1 D
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Hamburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 59.5) compared to Winterthur (SoS: 36.6). This means Hamburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hamburg averaging 1.3 and Winterthur averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hamburg conceding 1.9 and Winterthur conceding 2.0 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Hamburg has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamburg

Hamburg

VS
Winterthur

Winterthur

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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