Compare Heerenveen vs Mechelen

Heerenveen vs Mechelen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heerenveen vs Mechelen: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heerenveen Home Team

Mechelen Away Team

Heerenveen

57.1

L W W L W D W W W L

Last 10 Matches

Mechelen

26.6

L W L L L L D L W L

Categories Won

Heerenveen

Draw

Mechelen

Performance Radar

Heerenveen

Mechelen

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

20%

2W, 1D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match

1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-16

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

80%

8 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

J. Trenskow (4 goals)

B. Boersma (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

100%

4W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

33%

2W / 6 matches

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

52.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.9

44.7

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0W / 2 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.23

0.83

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.03

Adjusted Power Rating

57.1

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 54.7, Form: 61.6

26.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 18.9, Form: 18.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Heerenveen

Mechelen

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 61.6

Defense 54.7

Form 61.6

Consistency 43.3

Power Rating Breakdown

26.6

Overall

Attack 25.3

Defense 18.9

Form 18.9

Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

58.9 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%

Heerenveen

Mechelen

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

NAC A

Dutch Eredivisie

0 - 2 L

54%

Volendam A

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 0 W

54%

Fortuna H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 1 W

56%

AZ A

Dutch Eredivisie

0 - 3 L

72%

Heracles H

Dutch Eredivisie

4 - 1 W

36%

NEC A

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 2 D

69%

Telstar H

Dutch Eredivisie

3 - 0 W

64%

Excelsior A

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 1 W

60%

Sparta H

Dutch Eredivisie

2 - 1 W

44%

PSV A

Dutch Eredivisie

1 - 3 L

80%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

R. Union SG A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

69%

Gent H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 0 W

46%

Sint-Truiden H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 4 L

44%

Club Brugge A

Belgian First Division A

1 - 6 L

71%

Anderlecht H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

35%

R. Union SG H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 1 L

75%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 1 D

63%

Club Brugge A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 4 L

83%

Anderlecht H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

47%

Gent A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 3 L

63%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.6 vs 44.7), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Heerenveen's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with J. Trenskow leading the charge with 4 goals. Mechelen manages just 0.8 per match.

Defensively, Heerenveen is far superior, conceding just 1.4 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Mechelen leaks 2.4 per match.

Mechelen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Heerenveen, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Heerenveen is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (61.6), defense (54.7), and form (61.6) leaves little room for doubt. Mechelen will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heerenveen

Mechelen

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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