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Compare Heerenveen vs Pogoń

Heerenveen vs Pogoń Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heerenveen vs Pogoń: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heerenveen Heerenveen Home Team
Pogoń Pogoń Away Team
Heerenveen
57.1
L W W L W D W W W L

Last 10 Matches

Pogoń
46.9
L W D L W L L W L W

Categories Won

10

Heerenveen

2

Draw

3

Pogoń

Performance Radar

Heerenveen
Pogoń

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

0

0

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Trenskow (4 goals)
P. Mukairu (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.9

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.03

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.23

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
57.1

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 54.7, Form: 61.6

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

4
Heerenveen
Pogoń
Heerenveen

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 54.7
Form 61.6
Consistency 43.3
Pogoń

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3
Defense 59.2
Form 41.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

58.9 vs 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Heerenveen logo Heerenveen
L
NAC (54%)
W
Volendam (54%)
W
Fortuna (56%)
L
AZ (72%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (69%)
W
Telstar (64%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
Pogoń logo Pogoń
L
Jagiellonia (53%)
W
Wisła Płock (42%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
L
Lech (64%)
W
Piast (58%)
L
Legia (59%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Kielce (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
NAC A
0 - 2 L
54%
Volendam A
2 - 0 W
54%
Fortuna H
2 - 1 W
56%
AZ A
0 - 3 L
72%
Heracles H
4 - 1 W
36%
NEC A
2 - 2 D
69%
Telstar H
3 - 0 W
64%
Excelsior A
2 - 1 W
60%
Sparta H
2 - 1 W
44%
PSV A
1 - 3 L
80%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jagiellonia A
2 - 3 L
53%
Wisła Płock H
3 - 0 W
42%
Cracovia A
1 - 1 D
45%
Lech H
1 - 2 L
64%
Piast A
2 - 0 W
58%
Legia H
0 - 2 L
59%
Lechia A
1 - 2 L
51%
Kielce H
2 - 1 W
43%
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Widzew H
1 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.6 vs 54.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Heerenveen holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Pogoń's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Heerenveen conceding 1.4 and Pogoń conceding 1.3 per match.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

The home advantage factor favors Heerenveen, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Heerenveen has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heerenveen

Heerenveen

VS
Pogoń

Pogoń

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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