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Compare Heerenveen vs St. Pauli

Heerenveen vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heerenveen vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heerenveen Heerenveen Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Heerenveen
57.1
L W W L W D W W W L

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

11

Heerenveen

2

Draw

2

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Heerenveen
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Trenskow (4 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.9

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.03

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.23

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
57.1

Attack: 61.6, Defense: 54.7, Form: 61.6

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
5

31-45'

4

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Heerenveen
St. Pauli
Heerenveen

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 61.6
Defense 54.7
Form 61.6
Consistency 43.3
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

58.9 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Heerenveen logo Heerenveen
L
NAC (54%)
W
Volendam (54%)
W
Fortuna (56%)
L
AZ (72%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (69%)
W
Telstar (64%)
W
Excelsior (60%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
NAC A
0 - 2 L
54%
Volendam A
2 - 0 W
54%
Fortuna H
2 - 1 W
56%
AZ A
0 - 3 L
72%
Heracles H
4 - 1 W
36%
NEC A
2 - 2 D
69%
Telstar H
3 - 0 W
64%
Excelsior A
2 - 1 W
60%
Sparta H
2 - 1 W
44%
PSV A
1 - 3 L
80%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

St. Pauli has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 68.4) compared to Heerenveen (SoS: 52.6). This means St. Pauli's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Heerenveen's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with J. Trenskow leading the charge with 4 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Heerenveen has the defensive edge, conceding 1.4 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Heerenveen, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Heerenveen emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.1 vs 34.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heerenveen

Heerenveen

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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