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Compare Heidenheim vs Nacional

Heidenheim vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heidenheim vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heidenheim Heidenheim Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Heidenheim
48.6
W D W L W D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

9

Heidenheim

3

Draw

3

Nacional

Performance Radar

Heidenheim
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Zivzivadze (5 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.3

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.4

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.61

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.71

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
48.6

Attack: 69.2, Defense: 40.1, Form: 32.8

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

Heidenheim
Nacional
Heidenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

48.6

Overall

Attack 69.2
Defense 40.1
Form 32.8
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

65.4 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Heidenheim logo Heidenheim
W
Köln (62%)
D
Bayern Munich (86%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Freiburg (72%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
D
Leverkusen (65%)
L
Frankfurt (67%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Köln A
3 - 1 W
62%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 3 D
86%
St. Pauli H
2 - 0 W
50%
Freiburg A
1 - 2 L
72%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
M'gladbach A
2 - 2 D
68%
Leverkusen H
3 - 3 D
65%
Frankfurt A
0 - 1 L
67%
Hoffenheim H
2 - 4 L
65%
Bremen A
0 - 2 L
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.3 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Heidenheim's attack is on another level, averaging 1.9 goals per match with B. Zivzivadze leading the charge with 5 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Heidenheim's 1.9.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Heidenheim has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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