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Compare Heidenheim vs St. Pauli

Heidenheim vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Heidenheim vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Heidenheim Heidenheim Home Team
St. Pauli St. Pauli Away Team
Heidenheim
48.6
W D W L W D D L L L

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli
34.7
L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

9

Heidenheim

1

Draw

5

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Heidenheim
St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Zivzivadze (5 goals)
Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
17%

1W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.3

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 65.4

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.61

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.71

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating
48.6

Attack: 69.2, Defense: 40.1, Form: 32.8

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

2
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
Heidenheim

Power Rating Breakdown

48.6

Overall

Attack 69.2
Defense 40.1
Form 32.8
Consistency 53.2
St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7
Defense 51.3
Form 11.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

91.0 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

65.4 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Heidenheim logo Heidenheim
W
Köln (62%)
D
Bayern Munich (86%)
W
St. Pauli (50%)
L
Freiburg (72%)
W
Union Berlin (52%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
D
Leverkusen (65%)
L
Frankfurt (67%)
St. Pauli logo St. Pauli
L
Leipzig (84%)
L
Mainz 05 (65%)
L
Heidenheim (67%)
D
Köln (57%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
L
M'gladbach (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Köln A
3 - 1 W
62%
Bayern Munich A
3 - 3 D
86%
St. Pauli H
2 - 0 W
50%
Freiburg A
1 - 2 L
72%
Union Berlin H
3 - 1 W
52%
M'gladbach A
2 - 2 D
68%
Leverkusen H
3 - 3 D
65%
Frankfurt A
0 - 1 L
67%
Hoffenheim H
2 - 4 L
65%
Bremen A
0 - 2 L
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Leipzig A
1 - 2 L
84%
Mainz 05 H
1 - 2 L
65%
Heidenheim A
0 - 2 L
67%
Köln H
1 - 1 D
57%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 5 L
81%
Union Berlin A
1 - 1 D
57%
Freiburg H
1 - 2 L
67%
M'gladbach A
0 - 2 L
68%
Frankfurt H
0 - 0 D
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 0 W
70%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.3 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Heidenheim's attack is on another level, averaging 1.9 goals per match with B. Zivzivadze leading the charge with 5 goals. St. Pauli manages just 0.6 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Heidenheim conceding 1.9 and St. Pauli conceding 1.7 per match.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Heidenheim has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-04-25), Heidenheim beat St. Pauli 2-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Heidenheim secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. St. Pauli will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Heidenheim will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

VS
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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