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Compare Inter Milan vs Alavés

Inter Milan vs Alavés Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Inter Milan vs Alavés: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Inter Milan Inter Milan Home Team
Alavés Alavés Away Team
Inter Milan
78.9
W W D W W W W D D L

Last 10 Matches

Alavés
43.5
D L W L D D W D L L

Categories Won

11

Inter Milan

1

Draw

3

Alavés

Performance Radar

Inter Milan
Alavés

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+12

+12

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Thuram (6 goals)
Toni Martínez (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
72.3

League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 65.9

60.4

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.3

Elite Opponent Record
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
3.22

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.82

2.08

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
78.9

Attack: 97.8, Defense: 73.4, Form: 73.4

43.5

Attack: 66.2, Defense: 29.4, Form: 22.1

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

2
9

46-60'

4
4

61-75'

4
5

76-90+'

4
Inter Milan
Alavés
Inter Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

78.9

Overall

Attack 97.8
Defense 73.4
Form 73.4
Consistency 61.3
Alavés

Power Rating Breakdown

43.5

Overall

Attack 66.2
Defense 29.4
Form 22.1
Consistency 64.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.5 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

65.9 vs 66.3

Elite Opponent Record

60% vs 0%
Inter Milan logo Inter Milan
W
Lazio (76%)
W
Parma (57%)
D
Torino (74%)
W
Como (53%)
W
Cagliari (53%)
W
Como (76%)
W
Roma (70%)
D
Fiorentina (71%)
Alavés logo Alavés
D
Elche (66%)
L
Athletic (55%)
W
Mallorca (68%)
L
Real Madrid (70%)
D
Real Sociedad (66%)
D
Osasuna (58%)
W
Celta Vigo (59%)
D
Villarreal (73%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lazio A
3 - 0 W
76%
Parma H
2 - 0 W
57%
Torino A
2 - 2 D
74%
Como H
3 - 2 W
53%
Cagliari H
3 - 0 W
53%
Como A
4 - 3 W
76%
Roma H
5 - 2 W
70%
Fiorentina A
1 - 1 D
71%
Atalanta H
1 - 1 D
64%
AC Milan A
0 - 1 L
65%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Elche A
1 - 1 D
66%
Athletic H
2 - 4 L
55%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
68%
Real Madrid A
1 - 2 L
70%
Real Sociedad A
3 - 3 D
66%
Osasuna H
2 - 2 D
58%
Celta Vigo A
4 - 3 W
59%
Villarreal H
1 - 1 D
73%
Valencia A
2 - 3 L
72%
Levante A
0 - 2 L
76%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Inter Milan has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 72.3) compared to Alavés (SoS: 60.4). This means Inter Milan's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Inter Milan holds the attacking edge with 2.4 goals per match versus Alavés's 1.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Inter Milan is far superior, conceding just 1.2 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Alavés leaks 2.2 per match.

Inter Milan has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Inter Milan, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Inter Milan is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (97.8), defense (73.4), and form (73.4) leaves little room for doubt. Alavés will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

VS
Alavés

Alavés

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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