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Compare Istra vs Freiburg

Istra vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Istra vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Istra Istra Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Istra
35.8
W W L L L L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

3

Istra

2

Draw

10

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Istra
Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 0D, 6L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Prevljak (4 goals)
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
34.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.93

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.07

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
35.8

Attack: 28.2, Defense: 47.9, Form: 33.8

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

5
1

31-45'

4

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

3
Istra
Freiburg
Istra

Power Rating Breakdown

35.8

Overall

Attack 28.2
Defense 47.9
Form 33.8
Consistency 35.2
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

47.2 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Istra logo Istra
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
L
Gorica (50%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (71%)
L
Vukovar (32%)
L
Lokomotiva (49%)
L
Hajduk (53%)
W
Varaždin (48%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osijek A
1 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
3 - 1 W
35%
Gorica A
0 - 1 L
50%
Dinamo Zagreb H
0 - 2 L
71%
Vukovar H
1 - 2 L
32%
Lokomotiva A
0 - 2 L
49%
Hajduk H
1 - 3 L
53%
Varaždin H
2 - 1 W
48%
Rijeka A
2 - 0 W
48%
Osijek H
0 - 1 L
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.6) compared to Istra (SoS: 34.5). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Istra's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Istra conceding 1.3 and Freiburg conceding 1.5 per match.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 35.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Istra

Istra

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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