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Compare Istra vs Nacional

Istra vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Istra vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Istra Istra Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Istra
35.8
W W L L L L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

6

Istra

3

Draw

6

Nacional

Performance Radar

Istra
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 0D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-3

-3

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Prevljak (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
34.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.93

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.07

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
35.8

Attack: 28.2, Defense: 47.9, Form: 33.8

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Istra
Nacional
Istra

Power Rating Breakdown

35.8

Overall

Attack 28.2
Defense 47.9
Form 33.8
Consistency 35.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

47.2 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Istra logo Istra
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
L
Gorica (50%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (71%)
L
Vukovar (32%)
L
Lokomotiva (49%)
L
Hajduk (53%)
W
Varaždin (48%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osijek A
1 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
3 - 1 W
35%
Gorica A
0 - 1 L
50%
Dinamo Zagreb H
0 - 2 L
71%
Vukovar H
1 - 2 L
32%
Lokomotiva A
0 - 2 L
49%
Hajduk H
1 - 3 L
53%
Varaždin H
2 - 1 W
48%
Rijeka A
2 - 0 W
48%
Osijek H
0 - 1 L
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Nacional has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.1) compared to Istra (SoS: 34.5). This means Nacional's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Istra averaging 1.0 and Nacional averaging 0.8 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Istra conceding 1.3 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Nacional has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Istra

Istra

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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