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Compare Karpaty Lviv vs Nacional

Karpaty Lviv vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Karpaty Lviv vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Karpaty Lviv
71.6
D L D W D W W W W D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

13

Karpaty Lviv

1

Draw

1

Nacional

Performance Radar

Karpaty Lviv
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.4

4 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+13

+13

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Kostenko (4 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
66.8

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 64.7

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.96

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.26

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
71.6

Attack: 66.2, Defense: 100, Form: 58.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

Karpaty Lviv
Nacional
Karpaty Lviv

Power Rating Breakdown

71.6

Overall

Attack 66.2
Defense 100
Form 58.4
Consistency 61.3
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

98.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.7 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
Karpaty Lviv logo Karpaty Lviv
D
Metalist 1925 (79%)
L
Kryvbas KR (76%)
D
LNZ Cherkasy (74%)
W
Rukh Vynnyky (49%)
D
Epitsentr (79%)
W
Oleksandria (44%)
W
Dynamo Kyiv (83%)
W
Obolon (58%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Metalist 1925 A
2 - 2 D
79%
Kryvbas KR A
0 - 1 L
76%
LNZ Cherkasy H
0 - 0 D
74%
Rukh Vynnyky A
3 - 0 W
49%
Epitsentr A
0 - 0 D
79%
Oleksandria H
2 - 0 W
44%
Dynamo Kyiv A
1 - 0 W
83%
Obolon H
4 - 0 W
58%
SK Poltava A
4 - 0 W
50%
Kudrivka H
1 - 1 D
55%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Karpaty Lviv has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 66.8) compared to Nacional (SoS: 53.1). This means Karpaty Lviv's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Karpaty Lviv holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Karpaty Lviv has the defensive edge, conceding 0.4 per match compared to Nacional's 1.1.

Karpaty Lviv has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being unlikely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Karpaty Lviv is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (66.2), defense (100), and form (58.4) leaves little room for doubt. Nacional will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Karpaty Lviv

Karpaty Lviv

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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