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Compare Kielce vs Arka

Kielce vs Arka Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kielce vs Arka: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kielce Kielce Home Team
Arka Arka Away Team
Kielce
39.9
L D D L D L W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Arka
38.9
D L L D W L D W L D

Categories Won

4

Kielce

6

Draw

5

Arka

Performance Radar

Kielce
Arka

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Pięczek (3 goals)
V. Gutkovskis (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.02

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.08

1.3

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
39.9

Attack: 38.2, Defense: 52.0, Form: 20.8

38.9

Attack: 45.1, Defense: 38.2, Form: 20.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

6
1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Kielce
Arka
Kielce

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 38.2
Defense 52.0
Form 20.8
Consistency 61.3
Arka

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 45.1
Defense 38.2
Form 20.8
Consistency 64.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

52.1 vs 52.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Kielce logo Kielce
L
Raków (59%)
D
Piast (53%)
D
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Górnik (58%)
D
Jagiellonia (48%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Arka (44%)
L
Pogoń (54%)
Arka logo Arka
D
Lech (69%)
L
Piast (58%)
L
Jagiellonia (48%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
W
Zagłębie (49%)
L
Kielce (48%)
D
Widzew (54%)
W
Wisła Płock (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Piast H
1 - 1 D
53%
GKS Katowice H
1 - 1 D
59%
Górnik A
0 - 1 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
1 - 1 D
48%
Lechia A
2 - 4 L
51%
Arka H
3 - 0 W
44%
Pogoń A
1 - 2 L
54%
Nieciecza H
2 - 1 W
36%
Motor A
0 - 2 L
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lech A
1 - 1 D
69%
Piast A
1 - 4 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
0 - 3 L
48%
Cracovia A
2 - 2 D
45%
Zagłębie H
3 - 1 W
49%
Kielce A
0 - 3 L
48%
Widzew H
0 - 0 D
54%
Wisła Płock A
3 - 0 W
47%
Radomiak A
1 - 3 L
58%
Lechia H
2 - 2 D
46%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 54.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kielce averaging 1.1 and Arka averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Kielce has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Arka's 1.9.

Kielce has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Arka has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

In their recent Polish Ekstraklasa match (2026-03-22), Kielce prevailed 3-0 against Arka. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Kielce secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Kielce completely dominated Arka in that encounter, raising serious questions about Arka's ability to compete at this level. Arka will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kielce will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kielce

Kielce

VS
Arka

Arka

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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