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Compare Kielce vs Jagiellonia

Kielce vs Jagiellonia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kielce vs Jagiellonia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kielce Kielce Home Team
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia Away Team
Kielce
39.9
L D D L D L W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Jagiellonia
45.0
W L W D D L W L L D

Categories Won

1

Kielce

3

Draw

11

Jagiellonia

Performance Radar

Kielce
Jagiellonia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Pięczek (3 goals)
A. Pululu (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

54.4

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.02

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.08

1.23

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
39.9

Attack: 38.2, Defense: 52.0, Form: 20.8

45.0

Attack: 48.7, Defense: 52.2, Form: 31.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4
4

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
Kielce
Jagiellonia
Kielce

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 38.2
Defense 52.0
Form 20.8
Consistency 61.3
Jagiellonia

Power Rating Breakdown

45.0

Overall

Attack 48.7
Defense 52.2
Form 31.3
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

52.1 vs 52.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Kielce logo Kielce
L
Raków (59%)
D
Piast (53%)
D
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Górnik (58%)
D
Jagiellonia (48%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Arka (44%)
L
Pogoń (54%)
Jagiellonia logo Jagiellonia
W
Pogoń (49%)
L
Górnik (53%)
W
Arka (49%)
D
Kielce (48%)
D
Lech (64%)
L
Wisła Płock (42%)
W
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Piast (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Piast H
1 - 1 D
53%
GKS Katowice H
1 - 1 D
59%
Górnik A
0 - 1 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
1 - 1 D
48%
Lechia A
2 - 4 L
51%
Arka H
3 - 0 W
44%
Pogoń A
1 - 2 L
54%
Nieciecza H
2 - 1 W
36%
Motor A
0 - 2 L
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Pogoń H
3 - 2 W
49%
Górnik H
1 - 2 L
53%
Arka A
3 - 0 W
49%
Kielce A
1 - 1 D
48%
Lech H
0 - 0 D
64%
Wisła Płock H
1 - 2 L
42%
GKS Katowice H
2 - 1 W
59%
Piast H
1 - 2 L
53%
Lechia A
0 - 3 L
51%
Legia H
2 - 2 D
59%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 54.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kielce averaging 1.1 and Jagiellonia averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Kielce conceding 1.5 and Jagiellonia conceding 1.5 per match.

Kielce has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Jagiellonia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Jagiellonia has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Polish Ekstraklasa (2026-04-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kielce

Kielce

VS
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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