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Compare Kielce vs Pogoń

Kielce vs Pogoń Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kielce vs Pogoń: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kielce Kielce Home Team
Pogoń Pogoń Away Team
Kielce
39.9
L D D L D L W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Pogoń
46.9
L W D L W L L W L W

Categories Won

1

Kielce

3

Draw

11

Pogoń

Performance Radar

Kielce
Pogoń

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

0

0

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Pięczek (3 goals)
P. Mukairu (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.02

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.08

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
39.9

Attack: 38.2, Defense: 52.0, Form: 20.8

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

2
2

76-90+'

4
Kielce
Pogoń
Kielce

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 38.2
Defense 52.0
Form 20.8
Consistency 61.3
Pogoń

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3
Defense 59.2
Form 41.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

52.1 vs 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Kielce logo Kielce
L
Raków (59%)
D
Piast (53%)
D
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Górnik (58%)
D
Jagiellonia (48%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Arka (44%)
L
Pogoń (54%)
Pogoń logo Pogoń
L
Jagiellonia (53%)
W
Wisła Płock (42%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
L
Lech (64%)
W
Piast (58%)
L
Legia (59%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Kielce (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Piast H
1 - 1 D
53%
GKS Katowice H
1 - 1 D
59%
Górnik A
0 - 1 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
1 - 1 D
48%
Lechia A
2 - 4 L
51%
Arka H
3 - 0 W
44%
Pogoń A
1 - 2 L
54%
Nieciecza H
2 - 1 W
36%
Motor A
0 - 2 L
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jagiellonia A
2 - 3 L
53%
Wisła Płock H
3 - 0 W
42%
Cracovia A
1 - 1 D
45%
Lech H
1 - 2 L
64%
Piast A
2 - 0 W
58%
Legia H
0 - 2 L
59%
Lechia A
1 - 2 L
51%
Kielce H
2 - 1 W
43%
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Widzew H
1 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 54.1 vs 54.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kielce averaging 1.1 and Pogoń averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Kielce conceding 1.5 and Pogoń conceding 1.3 per match.

Kielce has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Pogoń has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In their recent Polish Ekstraklasa match (2026-03-16), Pogoń prevailed 2-1 against Kielce. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Pogoń secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Kielce will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Pogoń will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kielce

Kielce

VS
Pogoń

Pogoń

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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