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Compare Kielce vs Rayo

Kielce vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Kielce vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Kielce Kielce Home Team
Rayo Rayo Away Team
Kielce
39.9
L D D L D L W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Rayo
65.9
D W W W D W L L W W

Categories Won

1

Kielce

2

Draw

12

Rayo

Performance Radar

Kielce
Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 3D, 5L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Pięczek (3 goals)
Alemão (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
54.1

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

69.3

League Difficulty: 87.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.02

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.08

1.74

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.34

Adjusted Power Rating
39.9

Attack: 38.2, Defense: 52.0, Form: 20.8

65.9

Attack: 55.7, Defense: 79.5, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

4
Kielce
Rayo
Kielce

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 38.2
Defense 52.0
Form 20.8
Consistency 61.3
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

65.9

Overall

Attack 55.7
Defense 79.5
Form 71.6
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

57.0 vs 87.0

Opponent Quality

52.1 vs 63.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 50%
Kielce logo Kielce
L
Raków (59%)
D
Piast (53%)
D
GKS Katowice (59%)
L
Górnik (58%)
D
Jagiellonia (48%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Arka (44%)
L
Pogoń (54%)
Rayo logo Rayo
D
Girona (59%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
D
Real Sociedad (61%)
W
Espanyol (50%)
L
AEK Athens (75%)
L
Mallorca (73%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Piast H
1 - 1 D
53%
GKS Katowice H
1 - 1 D
59%
Górnik A
0 - 1 L
58%
Jagiellonia H
1 - 1 D
48%
Lechia A
2 - 4 L
51%
Arka H
3 - 0 W
44%
Pogoń A
1 - 2 L
54%
Nieciecza H
2 - 1 W
36%
Motor A
0 - 2 L
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Girona H
1 - 1 D
59%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
57%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
52%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
50%
AEK Athens A
1 - 3 L
75%
Mallorca A
0 - 3 L
73%
AEK Athens H
3 - 0 W
70%
Elche H
1 - 0 W
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.3) compared to Kielce (SoS: 54.1). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Kielce averaging 1.1 and Rayo averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Rayo has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Kielce's 1.5.

Kielce has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.9 vs 39.9) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Kielce

Kielce

VS
Rayo

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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