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Compare Larissa vs Freiburg

Larissa vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Larissa vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Larissa Larissa Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Larissa
37.4
D D D L D L L L D D

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
56.4
L W D L L L W W W W

Categories Won

2

Larissa

2

Draw

11

Freiburg

Performance Radar

Larissa
Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
0%

0W, 6D, 4L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ľ. Tupta (3 goals)
I. Matanović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.2

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 54.6

63.6

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 62.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.95

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.05

2.09

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
37.4

Attack: 31.6, Defense: 56.1, Form: 0.0

56.4

Attack: 64.4, Defense: 56.8, Form: 56.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1

16-30'

5
1

31-45'

4
4

46-60'

2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

3
Larissa
Freiburg
Larissa

Power Rating Breakdown

37.4

Overall

Attack 31.6
Defense 56.1
Form 0.0
Consistency 92.8
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 64.4
Defense 56.8
Form 56.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

56.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

54.6 vs 62.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Larissa logo Larissa
D
Panaitolikos (53%)
D
Asteras (56%)
D
Panserraikos (54%)
L
Panserraikos (49%)
D
Kifisia (49%)
L
Atromitos (59%)
L
Panaitolikos (48%)
L
Asteras (61%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Hamburg (63%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (50%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (76%)
L
Stuttgart (57%)
W
Heidenheim (62%)
W
Celta Vigo (56%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panaitolikos A
1 - 1 D
53%
Asteras H
1 - 1 D
56%
Panserraikos A
1 - 1 D
54%
Panserraikos H
0 - 1 L
49%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
49%
Atromitos A
2 - 3 L
59%
Panaitolikos H
1 - 2 L
48%
Asteras A
1 - 3 L
61%
Olympiakos A
0 - 0 D
61%
Asteras H
1 - 1 D
56%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
63%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
50%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
76%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
57%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
56%
Mainz 05 A
1 - 0 W
70%
Celta Vigo H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.2 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Freiburg holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Larissa's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Larissa conceding 1.4 and Freiburg conceding 1.5 per match.

Larissa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Freiburg, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Freiburg emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 37.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Larissa

Larissa

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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