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Compare Lens vs Nacional

Lens vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lens vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lens Lens Home Team
Nacional Nacional Away Team
Lens
58.8
W D D W W L W L W D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional
40.8
L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

9

Lens

2

Draw

4

Nacional

Performance Radar

Lens
Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
F. Thauvin (5 goals)
J. Ramírez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.7

League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 56.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.54

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.24

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
58.8

Attack: 77.2, Defense: 50.4, Form: 50.4

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
7

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

Lens
Nacional
Lens

Power Rating Breakdown

58.8

Overall

Attack 77.2
Defense 50.4
Form 50.4
Consistency 53.2
Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5
Defense 65.3
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

77.8 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

56.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Lens logo Lens
W
Nantes (51%)
D
Nice (60%)
D
Brest (61%)
W
Toulouse (40%)
W
Toulouse (57%)
L
Lille (78%)
W
Angers (47%)
L
Lorient (69%)
Nacional logo Nacional
L
Santa Clara (71%)
L
AVS (59%)
W
Tondela (57%)
W
Alverca (59%)
L
Benfica (80%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Famalicão (74%)
L
Estoril (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes H
1 - 0 W
51%
Nice A
1 - 1 D
60%
Brest A
3 - 3 D
61%
Toulouse H
4 - 1 W
40%
Toulouse H
3 - 2 W
57%
Lille A
0 - 3 L
78%
Angers H
5 - 1 W
47%
Lorient A
1 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 0 W
43%
Lyon A
2 - 2 D
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Santa Clara A
0 - 2 L
71%
AVS H
1 - 2 L
59%
Tondela A
2 - 0 W
57%
Alverca H
1 - 0 W
59%
Benfica A
0 - 2 L
80%
Estrela H
2 - 0 W
49%
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
74%
Estoril H
0 - 1 L
47%
Moreirense A
1 - 1 D
55%
Braga H
1 - 2 L
64%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.7 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lens's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with F. Thauvin leading the charge with 5 goals. Nacional manages just 0.8 per match.

Nacional has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Lens's 1.5.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Lens, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.8 vs 40.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lens

Lens

VS
Nacional

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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