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Compare Lens vs Toulouse

Lens vs Toulouse Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lens vs Toulouse: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lens Lens Home Team
Toulouse Toulouse Away Team
Lens
58.8
W D D W W L W L W D

Last 10 Matches

Toulouse
41.6
W W D L L L L W W L

Categories Won

9

Lens

4

Draw

2

Toulouse

Performance Radar

Lens
Toulouse

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
F. Thauvin (5 goals)
Emersonn (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
100%

5W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
50.7

League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 56.0

56.0

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 66.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.54

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.24

1.94

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.44

Adjusted Power Rating
58.8

Attack: 77.2, Defense: 50.4, Form: 50.4

41.6

Attack: 53.0, Defense: 28.3, Form: 42.4

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

5
3

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

1
7

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

5
Lens
Toulouse
Lens

Power Rating Breakdown

58.8

Overall

Attack 77.2
Defense 50.4
Form 50.4
Consistency 53.2
Toulouse

Power Rating Breakdown

41.6

Overall

Attack 53.0
Defense 28.3
Form 42.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

77.8 vs 81.9

Opponent Quality

56.0 vs 66.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Lens logo Lens
W
Nantes (51%)
D
Nice (60%)
D
Brest (61%)
W
Toulouse (40%)
W
Toulouse (57%)
L
Lille (78%)
W
Angers (47%)
L
Lorient (69%)
Toulouse logo Toulouse
W
Lyon (65%)
W
Strasbourg (60%)
D
Monaco (72%)
L
Lens (60%)
L
Lens (76%)
L
Lille (73%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
W
Lorient (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Nantes H
1 - 0 W
51%
Nice A
1 - 1 D
60%
Brest A
3 - 3 D
61%
Toulouse H
4 - 1 W
40%
Toulouse H
3 - 2 W
57%
Lille A
0 - 3 L
78%
Angers H
5 - 1 W
47%
Lorient A
1 - 2 L
69%
Metz H
3 - 0 W
43%
Lyon A
2 - 2 D
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lyon H
2 - 1 W
65%
Strasbourg A
2 - 1 W
60%
Monaco H
2 - 2 D
72%
Lens A
1 - 4 L
60%
Lens A
2 - 3 L
76%
Lille H
0 - 4 L
73%
Paris SG A
1 - 3 L
84%
Lorient H
1 - 0 W
64%
Metz A
4 - 3 W
48%
Marseille H
0 - 1 L
61%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 50.7 vs 56.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lens holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Toulouse's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lens has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Toulouse's 2.2.

Toulouse has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Lens, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Lens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (58.8 vs 41.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Coupe de France match (2026-04-21), Lens prevailed 4-1 against Toulouse. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Lens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Lens completely dominated Toulouse in that encounter, raising serious questions about Toulouse's ability to compete at this level. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In the French Ligue 1 (2026-04-17), Lens beat Toulouse 3-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Lens secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Toulouse will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Lens will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lens

Lens

VS
Toulouse

Toulouse

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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