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Compare Lorient vs Estrela

Lorient vs Estrela Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lorient vs Estrela: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lorient Lorient Home Team
Estrela Estrela Away Team
Lorient
51.4
W D L W L D L W D D

Last 10 Matches

Estrela
39.2
D L L L L L W L D D

Categories Won

12

Lorient

2

Draw

1

Estrela

Performance Radar

Lorient
Estrela

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
B. Dieng (4 goals)
Rodrigo Pinho (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
60.2

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 64.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.78

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.38

1.0

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: 0.0

Adjusted Power Rating
51.4

Attack: 51.4, Defense: 69.8, Form: 33.1

39.2

Attack: 34.4, Defense: 58.4, Form: 10.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

2
Lorient
Estrela
Lorient

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 51.4
Defense 69.8
Form 33.1
Consistency 57.7
Estrela

Power Rating Breakdown

39.2

Overall

Attack 34.4
Defense 58.4
Form 10.3
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
Lorient logo Lorient
W
Metz (48%)
D
Paris SG (84%)
L
Strasbourg (55%)
W
Marseille (61%)
L
Lyon (70%)
D
Paris FC (72%)
L
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)
Estrela logo Estrela
D
Famalicão (69%)
L
Moreirense (55%)
L
Porto (69%)
L
Arouca (62%)
L
Sporting (70%)
L
Nacional (57%)
W
Casa Pia (48%)
L
Rio Ave (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Metz A
4 - 0 W
48%
Paris SG A
2 - 2 D
84%
Strasbourg H
2 - 3 L
55%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%
Lyon A
0 - 2 L
70%
Paris FC H
1 - 1 D
72%
Toulouse A
0 - 1 L
62%
Lens H
2 - 1 W
71%
Lille A
1 - 1 D
78%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão H
0 - 0 D
69%
Moreirense A
2 - 3 L
55%
Porto H
1 - 2 L
69%
Arouca A
0 - 1 L
62%
Sporting H
0 - 1 L
70%
Nacional A
0 - 2 L
57%
Casa Pia H
4 - 0 W
48%
Rio Ave A
1 - 2 L
66%
Gil Vicente H
2 - 2 D
55%
AVS A
0 - 0 D
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.2 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lorient holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Estrela's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Lorient conceding 1.1 and Estrela conceding 1.3 per match.

Lorient has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lorient has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lorient

Lorient

VS
Estrela

Estrela

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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