Compare Lorient vs Nacional

Lorient vs Nacional Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lorient vs Nacional: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lorient Home Team

Nacional Away Team

Lorient

51.4

W D L W L D L W D D

Last 10 Matches

Nacional

40.8

L L W W L W L L D L

Categories Won

Lorient

Draw

Nacional

Performance Radar

Lorient

Nacional

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-3

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

B. Dieng (4 goals)

J. Ramírez (3 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

60.2

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 64.0

53.1

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

20%

1W / 5 matches

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.38

0.96

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.16

Adjusted Power Rating

51.4

Attack: 51.4, Defense: 69.8, Form: 33.1

40.8

Attack: 27.5, Defense: 65.3, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Lorient

Nacional

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 51.4

Defense 69.8

Form 33.1

Consistency 57.7

Power Rating Breakdown

40.8

Overall

Attack 27.5

Defense 65.3

Form 30.9

Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

64.0 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%

Lorient

Nacional

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Metz A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

48%

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

84%

Strasbourg H

French Ligue 1

2 - 3 L

55%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

Lyon A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

70%

Paris FC H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

72%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

71%

Lille A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

78%

Nice H

Coupe de France

0 - 0 D

39%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

71%

AVS H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

59%

Tondela A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

57%

Alverca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

59%

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 2 L

80%

Estrela H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 0 W

49%

Famalicão A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

74%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

0 - 1 L

47%

Moreirense A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

55%

Braga H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.2 vs 53.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lorient holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Nacional's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Lorient conceding 1.1 and Nacional conceding 1.1 per match.

Lorient has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Nacional has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lorient has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lorient

Nacional

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair