Compare Lorient vs St. Pauli

Lorient vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Lorient vs St. Pauli: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Lorient Home Team

St. Pauli Away Team

Lorient

51.4

W D L W L D L W D D

Last 10 Matches

St. Pauli

34.7

L L L D L D L L D W

Categories Won

Lorient

Draw

St. Pauli

Performance Radar

Lorient

St. Pauli

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match

1.4

14 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-11

Clean Sheet

30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

B. Dieng (4 goals)

Mathias Pereira Lage (2 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 3

Home Win Rate

40%

2W / 5 matches

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

60.2

League Difficulty: 81.9, Opponent Quality: 64.0

68.4

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.38

0.82

Actual: 0.6 | Diff: -0.22

Adjusted Power Rating

51.4

Attack: 51.4, Defense: 69.8, Form: 33.1

34.7

Attack: 23.7, Defense: 51.3, Form: 11.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Lorient

St. Pauli

Power Rating Breakdown

51.4

Overall

Attack 51.4

Defense 69.8

Form 33.1

Consistency 57.7

Power Rating Breakdown

34.7

Overall

Attack 23.7

Defense 51.3

Form 11.8

Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.9 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

64.0 vs 67.8

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 33%

Lorient

St. Pauli

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Metz A

French Ligue 1

4 - 0 W

48%

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

84%

Strasbourg H

French Ligue 1

2 - 3 L

55%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

61%

Lyon A

French Ligue 1

0 - 2 L

70%

Paris FC H

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

72%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

62%

Lens H

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

71%

Lille A

French Ligue 1

1 - 1 D

78%

Nice H

Coupe de France

0 - 0 D

39%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Leipzig A

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

84%

Mainz 05 H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

65%

Heidenheim A

German Bundesliga

0 - 2 L

67%

Köln H

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

57%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

0 - 5 L

81%

Union Berlin A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

67%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

0 - 2 L

68%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

0 - 0 D

62%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

1 - 0 W

70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.2 vs 68.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Lorient holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus St. Pauli's 0.6, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Lorient has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to St. Pauli's 1.7.

Lorient has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

St. Pauli has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lorient emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (51.4 vs 34.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Lorient

St. Pauli

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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