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Compare Mainz 05 vs AC Milan

Mainz 05 vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
47.5
L L D W L L W L W W

Categories Won

11

Mainz 05

2

Draw

2

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
S. Pavlović (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

65.5

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 70.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.05

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

47.5

Attack: 34.6, Defense: 69.3, Form: 46.2

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

2

61-75'

4

76-90+'

4
Mainz 05
AC Milan
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

47.5

Overall

Attack 34.6
Defense 69.3
Form 46.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 70.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 20%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
L
Atalanta (64%)
L
Sassuolo (69%)
D
Juventus (80%)
W
Verona (55%)
L
Udinese (74%)
L
Napoli (79%)
W
Torino (69%)
L
Lazio (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atalanta H
2 - 3 L
64%
Sassuolo A
0 - 2 L
69%
Juventus H
0 - 0 D
80%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
55%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
74%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
79%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
69%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
76%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
78%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
56%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 65.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus AC Milan's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

AC Milan has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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