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Compare Mainz 05 vs Brest

Mainz 05 vs Brest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Brest: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Brest Brest Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Brest
40.9
L L D D L L L W W W

Categories Won

11

Mainz 05

2

Draw

2

Brest

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Brest

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
L. Ajorque (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

58.0

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 67.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.49

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

40.9

Attack: 43.2, Defense: 43.2, Form: 32.4

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

1
Mainz 05
Brest
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

40.9

Overall

Attack 43.2
Defense 43.2
Form 32.4
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 67.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Brest logo Brest
L
Paris SG (84%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
D
Lens (71%)
D
Nantes (56%)
L
Rennes (75%)
L
Auxerre (71%)
L
Monaco (77%)
W
Le Havre (53%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Paris SG A
0 - 1 L
84%
Paris FC A
0 - 4 L
77%
Lens H
3 - 3 D
71%
Nantes A
1 - 1 D
56%
Rennes H
3 - 4 L
75%
Auxerre A
0 - 3 L
71%
Monaco A
0 - 2 L
77%
Le Havre H
2 - 0 W
53%
Metz A
1 - 0 W
48%
Marseille H
2 - 0 W
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Brest (SoS: 58.0). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Brest's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Brest conceding 1.8 per match.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Brest

Brest

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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