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Compare Mainz 05 vs Elche

Mainz 05 vs Elche Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Elche: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Elche Elche Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Elche
45.7
L D L W W W L W L L

Categories Won

10

Mainz 05

1

Draw

4

Elche

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Elche

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
André Silva (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

61.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 68.1

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.62

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.32

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

45.7

Attack: 48.1, Defense: 48.1, Form: 44.4

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

61-75'

5
4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Elche
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Elche

Power Rating Breakdown

45.7

Overall

Attack 48.1
Defense 48.1
Form 44.4
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 68.1

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Elche logo Elche
L
Betis (73%)
D
Alavés (60%)
L
Celta Vigo (59%)
W
Oviedo (66%)
W
Atlético (61%)
W
Valencia (67%)
L
Rayo (79%)
W
Mallorca (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Betis A
1 - 2 L
73%
Alavés H
1 - 1 D
60%
Celta Vigo A
1 - 3 L
59%
Oviedo A
2 - 1 W
66%
Atlético H
3 - 2 W
61%
Valencia H
1 - 0 W
67%
Rayo A
0 - 1 L
79%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
68%
Real Madrid A
1 - 4 L
70%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
78%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 61.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Elche averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Elche conceding 1.7 per match.

Elche has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Elche, who boasts a 75% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Elche

Elche

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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