Compare Mainz 05 vs Genoa

Mainz 05 vs Genoa Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Genoa: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

Genoa Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Genoa

47.7

D D L W W L L W W L

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

Genoa

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

Genoa

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

-3

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

Vítinha (2 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 6

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

64.4

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 68.9

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

0.85

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.05

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

47.7

Attack: 30.5, Defense: 72.5, Form: 45.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

Genoa

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

47.7

Overall

Attack 30.5

Defense 72.5

Form 45.8

Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 68.9

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 17%

Mainz 05

Genoa

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Fiorentina A

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

71%

Atalanta A

Italian Serie A

0 - 0 D

69%

Como H

Italian Serie A

0 - 2 L

71%

Pisa A

Italian Serie A

2 - 1 W

46%

Sassuolo H

Italian Serie A

2 - 1 W

64%

Juventus A

Italian Serie A

0 - 2 L

85%

Udinese H

Italian Serie A

0 - 2 L

74%

Verona A

Italian Serie A

2 - 0 W

55%

Roma H

Italian Serie A

2 - 1 W

70%

Inter Milan A

Italian Serie A

0 - 2 L

84%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 64.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Genoa's 0.8, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Genoa has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Genoa has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Genoa

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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