Compare Mainz 05 vs GAK

Mainz 05 vs GAK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs GAK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

GAK Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

GAK

52.1

D W L L D L W W W L

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

GAK

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

GAK

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

R. Harakaté (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

51.3

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 48.8

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.66

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

52.1

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 64.2, Form: 40.5

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

GAK

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

52.1

Overall

Attack 57.4

Defense 64.2

Form 40.5

Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 48.8

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%

Mainz 05

GAK

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Altach H

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 2 D

43%

WSG Tirol H

Austrian Bundesliga

4 - 0 W

44%

WAC A

Austrian Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

51%

Ried A

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 2 L

55%

Ried H

Austrian Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

50%

Altach A

Austrian Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

48%

BW Linz H

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

WSG Tirol A

Austrian Bundesliga

5 - 1 W

48%

WAC H

Austrian Bundesliga

2 - 0 W

46%

WSG Tirol A

Austrian Bundesliga

0 - 2 L

48%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to GAK (SoS: 51.3). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and GAK averaging 1.7 goals per match.

GAK has the defensive edge, conceding 1.1 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

GAK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

GAK

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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