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Compare Mainz 05 vs Istra

Mainz 05 vs Istra Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Istra: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Istra Istra Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Istra
35.8
W W L L L L L W W L

Categories Won

10

Mainz 05

3

Draw

2

Istra

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Istra

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 0D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
S. Prevljak (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

34.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

0.93

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.07

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

35.8

Attack: 28.2, Defense: 47.9, Form: 33.8

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Istra
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Istra

Power Rating Breakdown

35.8

Overall

Attack 28.2
Defense 47.9
Form 33.8
Consistency 35.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 47.2

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Istra logo Istra
W
Osijek (46%)
W
Slaven (35%)
L
Gorica (50%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (71%)
L
Vukovar (32%)
L
Lokomotiva (49%)
L
Hajduk (53%)
W
Varaždin (48%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Osijek A
1 - 0 W
46%
Slaven H
3 - 1 W
35%
Gorica A
0 - 1 L
50%
Dinamo Zagreb H
0 - 2 L
71%
Vukovar H
1 - 2 L
32%
Lokomotiva A
0 - 2 L
49%
Hajduk H
1 - 3 L
53%
Varaždin H
2 - 1 W
48%
Rijeka A
2 - 0 W
48%
Osijek H
0 - 1 L
40%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Istra (SoS: 34.5). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Istra's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Istra has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 35.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Istra

Istra

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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