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Compare Mainz 05 vs Jablonec

Mainz 05 vs Jablonec Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Jablonec: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Jablonec Jablonec Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Jablonec
40.7
D L L L W W L L L W

Categories Won

10

Mainz 05

5

Draw

0

Jablonec

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Jablonec

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
S. Nebyla (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

53.6

League Difficulty: 58.0, Opponent Quality: 50.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.17

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.03

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

40.7

Attack: 41.4, Defense: 48.3, Form: 31.1

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Jablonec
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Jablonec

Power Rating Breakdown

40.7

Overall

Attack 41.4
Defense 48.3
Form 31.1
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 58.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 50.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Jablonec logo Jablonec
D
Hradec Kr. (59%)
L
Sparta Prague (59%)
L
Liberec (43%)
L
Sparta Prague (59%)
W
Ostrava (34%)
W
Zlín (46%)
L
Dukla (51%)
L
Olomouc (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hradec Kr. H
1 - 1 D
59%
Sparta Prague A
0 - 2 L
59%
Liberec H
1 - 2 L
43%
Sparta Prague A
1 - 3 L
59%
Ostrava H
4 - 1 W
34%
Zlín A
3 - 0 W
46%
Dukla A
0 - 2 L
51%
Olomouc H
1 - 2 L
46%
Ml. Boleslav A
0 - 3 L
66%
Karviná H
1 - 0 W
43%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Jablonec (SoS: 53.6). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Jablonec's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Jablonec conceding 1.6 per match.

Jablonec has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Jablonec

Jablonec

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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