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Compare Mainz 05 vs Kocaelispor

Mainz 05 vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Kocaelispor: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Kocaelispor
36.8
L D L D D D L L W L

Categories Won

11

Mainz 05

3

Draw

1

Kocaelispor

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Kocaelispor

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.5

5 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
S. Dursun (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

64.6

League Difficulty: 72.0, Opponent Quality: 59.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

0.51

Actual: 0.5 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

36.8

Attack: 19.1, Defense: 64.9, Form: 11.5

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

3

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Mainz 05
Kocaelispor
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Kocaelispor

Power Rating Breakdown

36.8

Overall

Attack 19.1
Defense 64.9
Form 11.5
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 72.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 59.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Kocaelispor logo Kocaelispor
L
Fatih (55%)
D
Kasımpaşa (57%)
L
Gençlerbirliği (50%)
D
Göztepe (59%)
D
Galatasaray (69%)
D
Başakşehir (66%)
L
Alanyaspor (61%)
L
Konyaspor (61%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Fatih H
0 - 1 L
55%
Kasımpaşa A
1 - 1 D
57%
Gençlerbirliği A
0 - 1 L
50%
Göztepe H
1 - 1 D
59%
Galatasaray A
1 - 1 D
69%
Başakşehir H
0 - 0 D
66%
Alanyaspor A
0 - 5 L
61%
Konyaspor H
1 - 2 L
61%
Eyüp A
1 - 0 W
58%
Beşiktaş H
0 - 1 L
60%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 64.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05's attack is on another level, averaging 1.5 goals per match with P. Tietz leading the charge with 3 goals. Kocaelispor manages just 0.5 per match.

Kocaelispor has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Kocaelispor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 36.8) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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