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Compare Mainz 05 vs Köln

Mainz 05 vs Köln Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Köln: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Köln Köln Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Köln
41.1
L D L D W D D D L L

Categories Won

9

Mainz 05

2

Draw

4

Köln

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Köln

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 5D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-4

-4

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
S. El Mala (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

58.7

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 63.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.87

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.37

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

41.1

Attack: 54.4, Defense: 39.9, Form: 10.9

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

6
Mainz 05
Köln
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Köln

Power Rating Breakdown

41.1

Overall

Attack 54.4
Defense 39.9
Form 10.9
Consistency 77.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 63.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Köln logo Köln
L
Heidenheim (62%)
D
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Leverkusen (65%)
D
St. Pauli (55%)
W
Bremen (62%)
D
Frankfurt (67%)
D
M'gladbach (63%)
D
Hamburg (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Heidenheim H
1 - 3 L
62%
Union Berlin A
2 - 2 D
57%
Leverkusen H
1 - 2 L
65%
St. Pauli A
1 - 1 D
55%
Bremen H
3 - 1 W
62%
Frankfurt A
2 - 2 D
67%
M'gladbach H
3 - 3 D
63%
Hamburg A
1 - 1 D
63%
Dortmund H
1 - 2 L
71%
Augsburg A
0 - 2 L
71%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Köln (SoS: 58.7). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Köln averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Köln conceding 1.9 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Köln

Köln

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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