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Compare Mainz 05 vs Lille

Mainz 05 vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Lille Lille Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Lille
72.8
W D W D W W W L W L

Categories Won

5

Mainz 05

1

Draw

9

Lille

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Lille

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.6

6 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
Matías Fernández (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

75.1

League Difficulty: 85.8, Opponent Quality: 68.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.66

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

72.8

Attack: 58.4, Defense: 100, Form: 75.1

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

6

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

2
Mainz 05
Lille
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Lille

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 58.4
Defense 100
Form 75.1
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 85.8

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 68.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 67%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Lille logo Lille
W
Monaco (77%)
D
Le Havre (53%)
W
Paris FC (77%)
D
Nice (55%)
W
Toulouse (62%)
W
Lens (71%)
W
Marseille (66%)
L
Aston Villa (75%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Monaco A
1 - 0 W
77%
Le Havre H
1 - 1 D
53%
Paris FC A
1 - 0 W
77%
Nice H
0 - 0 D
55%
Toulouse A
4 - 0 W
62%
Lens H
3 - 0 W
71%
Marseille A
2 - 1 W
66%
Aston Villa A
0 - 2 L
75%
Rennes A
2 - 1 W
80%
Aston Villa H
0 - 1 L
70%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 75.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Lille averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Defensively, Lille is far superior, conceding just 0.6 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Mainz 05 leaks 1.6 per match.

Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 4 of 6 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Lille is a strong road team with a 83% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Lille emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (72.8 vs 55.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Lille

Lille

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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