Compare Mainz 05 vs Monaco

Mainz 05 vs Monaco Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Monaco: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

Monaco Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Monaco

67.7

L W D D L W W W W W

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

Monaco

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

Monaco

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

F. Balogun (8 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 13

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

69.4

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

2.08

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.28

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

67.7

Attack: 71.6, Defense: 67.7, Form: 71.6

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

Monaco

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

67.7

Overall

Attack 71.6

Defense 67.7

Form 71.6

Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 50%

Mainz 05

Monaco

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Lille H

French Ligue 1

0 - 1 L

73%

Metz A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

48%

Toulouse A

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

62%

Auxerre H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

66%

Paris FC A

French Ligue 1

1 - 4 L

77%

Marseille H

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

61%

Lyon A

French Ligue 1

2 - 1 W

70%

Brest H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

56%

Paris SG A

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

84%

Angers H

French Ligue 1

2 - 0 W

47%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 69.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Monaco holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Mainz 05's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Monaco has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Monaco has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Monaco is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Monaco has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Monaco

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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