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Compare Mainz 05 vs Nantes

Mainz 05 vs Nantes Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Nantes: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Nantes Nantes Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Nantes
38.1
L W L L D D D L L L

Categories Won

12

Mainz 05

1

Draw

2

Nantes

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Nantes

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
M. Abline (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

57.4

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 65.6

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

0.95

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

38.1

Attack: 25.1, Defense: 64.4, Form: 10.7

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

4

61-75'

4

76-90+'

Mainz 05
Nantes
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Nantes

Power Rating Breakdown

38.1

Overall

Attack 25.1
Defense 64.4
Form 10.7
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 65.6

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Nantes logo Nantes
L
Lens (76%)
W
Marseille (61%)
L
Rennes (80%)
L
Paris SG (84%)
D
Brest (56%)
D
Auxerre (71%)
D
Metz (48%)
L
Strasbourg (55%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lens A
0 - 1 L
76%
Marseille H
3 - 0 W
61%
Rennes A
1 - 2 L
80%
Paris SG A
0 - 3 L
84%
Brest H
1 - 1 D
56%
Auxerre A
0 - 0 D
71%
Metz A
0 - 0 D
48%
Strasbourg H
2 - 3 L
55%
Angers H
0 - 1 L
47%
Lille A
0 - 1 L
78%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Nantes (SoS: 57.4). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Nantes's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Nantes has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Nantes has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 38.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Nantes

Nantes

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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