Compare Mainz 05 vs Paris SG

Mainz 05 vs Paris SG Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Paris SG: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

Paris SG Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Paris SG

83.2

W D D W W W L W W W

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

Paris SG

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

Paris SG

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

+13

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

O. Dembélé (7 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 11

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

71%

5W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

71.4

League Difficulty: 90.4, Opponent Quality: 64.9

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

2.85

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.55

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

83.2

Attack: 93.1, Defense: 80.9, Form: 85.0

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

Paris SG

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

83.2

Overall

Attack 93.1

Defense 80.9

Form 85.0

Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 90.4

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 64.9

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 50%

Mainz 05

Paris SG

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Brest H

French Ligue 1

1 - 0 W

56%

Bayern Munich A

UEFA Champions League

1 - 1 D

88%

Lorient H

French Ligue 1

2 - 2 D

64%

Bayern Munich H

UEFA Champions League

5 - 4 W

83%

Angers A

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

52%

Nantes H

French Ligue 1

3 - 0 W

51%

Lyon H

French Ligue 1

1 - 2 L

65%

Liverpool A

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

69%

Liverpool H

UEFA Champions League

2 - 0 W

64%

Toulouse H

French Ligue 1

3 - 1 W

57%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 71.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Paris SG holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Mainz 05's 1.5, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Paris SG has the defensive edge, conceding 1.0 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Paris SG is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Paris SG emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (83.2 vs 55.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Paris SG

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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