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Compare Mainz 05 vs Pogoń

Mainz 05 vs Pogoń Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Pogoń: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Pogoń Pogoń Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Pogoń
46.9
L W D L W L L W L W

Categories Won

9

Mainz 05

2

Draw

4

Pogoń

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Pogoń

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

0

0

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
P. Mukairu (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

54.5

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 52.8

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.32

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

46.9

Attack: 45.3, Defense: 59.2, Form: 41.8

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

4
Mainz 05
Pogoń
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Pogoń

Power Rating Breakdown

46.9

Overall

Attack 45.3
Defense 59.2
Form 41.8
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 52.8

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Pogoń logo Pogoń
L
Jagiellonia (53%)
W
Wisła Płock (42%)
D
Cracovia (45%)
L
Lech (64%)
W
Piast (58%)
L
Legia (59%)
L
Lechia (51%)
W
Kielce (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jagiellonia A
2 - 3 L
53%
Wisła Płock H
3 - 0 W
42%
Cracovia A
1 - 1 D
45%
Lech H
1 - 2 L
64%
Piast A
2 - 0 W
58%
Legia H
0 - 2 L
59%
Lechia A
1 - 2 L
51%
Kielce H
2 - 1 W
43%
Raków A
0 - 2 L
59%
Widzew H
1 - 0 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Pogoń (SoS: 54.5). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Pogoń averaging 1.3 goals per match.

Pogoń has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Mainz 05's 1.6.

Pogoń has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.5 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Pogoń

Pogoń

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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