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Compare Mainz 05 vs PSV

Mainz 05 vs PSV Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs PSV: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
PSV PSV Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

PSV
80.0
W D W W W L L W W W

Categories Won

1

Mainz 05

2

Draw

12

PSV

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
PSV

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.9

29 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+13

+13

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
R. Pepi (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 17
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

78.6

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 61.8

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

100%

2W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

3.64

Actual: 2.9 | Diff: -0.74

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

80.0

Attack: 100, Defense: 60.0, Form: 90.0

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

4
3

46-60'

7

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

9
Mainz 05
PSV
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
PSV

Power Rating Breakdown

80.0

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 60.0
Form 90.0
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 61.8

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 100%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
PSV logo PSV
W
Go Ahead (70%)
D
Ajax (67%)
W
Zwolle (54%)
W
Sparta (49%)
W
Utrecht (70%)
L
Telstar (69%)
L
NEC (64%)
W
AZ (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
4 - 1 W
70%
Ajax A
2 - 2 D
67%
Zwolle H
6 - 1 W
54%
Sparta A
2 - 0 W
49%
Utrecht H
4 - 3 W
70%
Telstar A
1 - 3 L
69%
NEC H
2 - 3 L
64%
AZ H
2 - 1 W
67%
Heracles A
3 - 1 W
41%
Heerenveen H
3 - 1 W
67%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 78.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

PSV's attack is on another level, averaging 2.9 goals per match with R. Pepi leading the charge with 7 goals. Mainz 05 manages just 1.5 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and PSV conceding 1.6 per match.

The home advantage factor favors PSV, who boasts a 80% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

PSV is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

PSV emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (80.0 vs 55.4) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
PSV

PSV

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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