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Compare Mainz 05 vs SK Poltava

Mainz 05 vs SK Poltava Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs SK Poltava: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

SK Poltava
23.0
L D L D L D L L L L

Categories Won

13

Mainz 05

2

Draw

0

SK Poltava

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
SK Poltava

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

0%

0W, 3D, 7L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.9

29 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-22

-22

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
V. Sad (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 3
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

64.1

League Difficulty: 98.0, Opponent Quality: 71.1

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

0.94

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

23.0

Attack: 26.6, Defense: 3.8, Form: 0.0

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

Mainz 05
SK Poltava
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
SK Poltava

Power Rating Breakdown

23.0

Overall

Attack 26.6
Defense 3.8
Form 0.0
Consistency 93.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 98.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 71.1

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
SK Poltava logo SK Poltava
L
Shakhtar D (78%)
D
Kryvbas KR (71%)
L
Kolos (83%)
D
Obolon (63%)
L
Polissya (77%)
D
Oleksandria (44%)
L
Metalist 1925 (79%)
L
Karpaty Lviv (81%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Shakhtar D H
0 - 4 L
78%
Kryvbas KR H
3 - 3 D
71%
Kolos A
0 - 2 L
83%
Obolon A
1 - 1 D
63%
Polissya H
0 - 4 L
77%
Oleksandria H
3 - 3 D
44%
Metalist 1925 A
0 - 2 L
79%
Karpaty Lviv H
0 - 4 L
81%
Zorya A
0 - 4 L
80%
Kudrivka H
0 - 2 L
55%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 64.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus SK Poltava's 0.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Mainz 05 is far superior, conceding just 1.6 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while SK Poltava leaks 2.9 per match.

SK Poltava has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Mainz 05 is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (59.5), defense (55.5), and form (59.5) leaves little room for doubt. SK Poltava will need an exceptional performance to compete.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
SK Poltava

SK Poltava

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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