Compare Mainz 05 vs Braga

Mainz 05 vs Braga Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Braga: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

Braga Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Braga

55.4

D L D W L W D W W D

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

Braga

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

Braga

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

Pau Víctor (5 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

63.4

League Difficulty: 81.4, Opponent Quality: 64.5

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.93

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.33

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

55.4

Attack: 60.5, Defense: 60.5, Form: 45.4

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

Braga

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 60.5

Defense 60.5

Form 45.4

Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 81.4

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 64.5

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%

Mainz 05

Braga

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Benfica A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

80%

Freiburg A

UEFA Europa League

1 - 3 L

69%

Estoril H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 1 D

47%

Freiburg H

UEFA Europa League

2 - 1 W

64%

Santa Clara A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 2 L

71%

Casa Pia A

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

53%

Famalicão H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

2 - 2 D

69%

Betis A

UEFA Europa League

4 - 2 W

70%

Arouca H

Portuguese Primeira Liga

1 - 0 W

57%

Betis H

UEFA Europa League

1 - 1 D

65%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Braga averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Braga conceding 1.4 per match.

Braga has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Braga

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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