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Compare Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg

Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Strasbourg Strasbourg Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Strasbourg
41.4
D L L L W L L W L W

Categories Won

12

Mainz 05

2

Draw

1

Strasbourg

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Strasbourg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
J. Enciso (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

52.9

League Difficulty: 78.7, Opponent Quality: 61.3

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.31

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.11

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

41.4

Attack: 41.2, Defense: 51.4, Form: 30.9

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

1

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Mainz 05
Strasbourg
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Strasbourg

Power Rating Breakdown

41.4

Overall

Attack 41.2
Defense 51.4
Form 30.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 78.7

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 61.3

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Strasbourg logo Strasbourg
D
Angers (52%)
L
Rayo (68%)
L
Toulouse (57%)
L
Rayo (73%)
W
Lorient (69%)
L
Nice (39%)
L
Rennes (75%)
W
Mainz 05 (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Angers A
1 - 1 D
52%
Rayo H
0 - 1 L
68%
Toulouse H
1 - 2 L
57%
Rayo A
0 - 1 L
73%
Lorient A
3 - 2 W
69%
Nice H
0 - 2 L
39%
Rennes H
0 - 3 L
75%
Mainz 05 H
4 - 0 W
60%
Mainz 05 A
0 - 2 L
65%
Nice H
3 - 1 W
55%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Strasbourg (SoS: 52.9). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Strasbourg's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Strasbourg conceding 1.5 per match.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.0 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-16), Strasbourg came out on top with a 4-0 victory over Mainz 05. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Strasbourg secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Strasbourg completely dominated Mainz 05 in that encounter, raising serious questions about Mainz 05's ability to compete at this level. Mainz 05 will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Strasbourg will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-04-09), Mainz 05 came out on top with a 2-0 victory over Strasbourg. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Mainz 05 secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Strasbourg will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Mainz 05 will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Strasbourg

Strasbourg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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