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Compare Mainz 05 vs Tromsø

Mainz 05 vs Tromsø Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Tromsø: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Tromsø Tromsø Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Tromsø
64.8
W D L W W D W W W W

Categories Won

5

Mainz 05

1

Draw

9

Tromsø

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Tromsø

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
J. Hjertø-Dahl (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

71%

5W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

48.0

League Difficulty: 50.0, Opponent Quality: 46.7

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.56

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.14

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

64.8

Attack: 55.5, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.6

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

5

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

3
Mainz 05
Tromsø
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Tromsø

Power Rating Breakdown

64.8

Overall

Attack 55.5
Defense 71.9
Form 68.6
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 50.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 46.7

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Tromsø logo Tromsø
W
Molde (52%)
D
Start (40%)
L
Brann (45%)
W
Sandefjord (50%)
W
Sarpsborg (47%)
D
Lillestrøm (57%)
W
Kristiansund (45%)
W
Rosenborg (42%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Molde H
2 - 0 W
52%
Start A
1 - 1 D
40%
Brann H
0 - 5 L
45%
Sandefjord H
3 - 1 W
50%
Sarpsborg A
1 - 0 W
47%
Lillestrøm H
0 - 0 D
57%
Kristiansund H
2 - 0 W
45%
Rosenborg H
2 - 0 W
42%
Brann A
2 - 1 W
50%
Fredrikstad H
4 - 0 W
39%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Tromsø (SoS: 48.0). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Tromsø averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Defensively, Tromsø is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Mainz 05 leaks 1.6 per match.

Tromsø has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Tromsø is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Tromsø has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.4 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Tromsø

Tromsø

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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