Compare Mainz 05 vs Westerlo

Mainz 05 vs Westerlo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Westerlo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Home Team

Westerlo Away Team

Mainz 05

55.4

L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Westerlo

45.7

L D L W L W W D L W

Categories Won

Mainz 05

Draw

Westerlo

Performance Radar

Mainz 05

Westerlo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match

1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match

1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference

-1

Clean Sheet

20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score

60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer

P. Tietz (3 goals)

Nacho Ferri (4 goals)

Most Goals by Half

1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6

1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 11

Home Win Rate

50%

3W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate

50%

2W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)

69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

51.3

League Difficulty: 59.5, Opponent Quality: 54.9

Elite Opponent Record

50%

1W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.42

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating

55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

45.7

Attack: 47.3, Defense: 50.6, Form: 40.5

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Mainz 05

Westerlo

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5

Defense 55.5

Form 59.5

Consistency 38.8

Power Rating Breakdown

45.7

Overall

Attack 47.3

Defense 50.6

Form 40.5

Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 59.5

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 54.9

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%

Mainz 05

Westerlo

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Union Berlin H

German Bundesliga

1 - 3 L

52%

St. Pauli A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

55%

Bayern Munich H

German Bundesliga

3 - 4 L

81%

M'gladbach A

German Bundesliga

1 - 1 D

68%

Strasbourg A

UEFA Conference League

0 - 4 L

57%

Freiburg H

German Bundesliga

0 - 1 L

67%

Strasbourg H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

52%

Hoffenheim A

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

70%

Frankfurt H

German Bundesliga

2 - 1 W

62%

Olomouc H

UEFA Conference League

2 - 0 W

54%

Opponent Breakdown

League

Score

Opp. Quality

Genk A

Belgian First Division A

0 - 3 L

54%

OHL H

Belgian First Division A

3 - 3 D

35%

Antwerp H

Belgian First Division A

2 - 4 L

40%

OHL A

Belgian First Division A

2 - 0 W

40%

Genk H

Belgian First Division A

1 - 2 L

49%

Standard A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 1 W

72%

Charleroi H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

2 - 0 W

57%

Standard A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

0 - 0 D

72%

Club Brugge H

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 2 L

78%

OHL A

Belgian Jupiler Pro League

1 - 0 W

52%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Mainz 05 has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 69.0) compared to Westerlo (SoS: 51.3). This means Mainz 05's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Mainz 05 averaging 1.5 and Westerlo averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Westerlo conceding 1.5 per match.

Westerlo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Westerlo is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Westerlo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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