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Compare Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Mainz 05 Mainz 05 Home Team
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg Away Team
Mainz 05
55.4
L W L D L L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Wolfsburg
34.5
L D D W L L L D L L

Categories Won

13

Mainz 05

2

Draw

0

Wolfsburg

Performance Radar

Mainz 05
Wolfsburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
P. Tietz (3 goals)
K. Koulierakis (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 6
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 87.1, Opponent Quality: 61.8

59.8

League Difficulty: 91.0, Opponent Quality: 67.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.84

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.34

1.08

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 59.5, Defense: 55.5, Form: 59.5

34.5

Attack: 32.9, Defense: 40.3, Form: 11.0

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 59.5
Defense 55.5
Form 59.5
Consistency 38.8
Wolfsburg

Power Rating Breakdown

34.5

Overall

Attack 32.9
Defense 40.3
Form 11.0
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

87.1 vs 91.0

Opponent Quality

61.8 vs 67.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
Mainz 05 logo Mainz 05
L
Union Berlin (52%)
W
St. Pauli (55%)
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
M'gladbach (68%)
L
Strasbourg (57%)
L
Freiburg (67%)
W
Strasbourg (52%)
W
Hoffenheim (70%)
Wolfsburg logo Wolfsburg
L
Bayern Munich (81%)
D
Freiburg (72%)
D
M'gladbach (63%)
W
Union Berlin (57%)
L
Frankfurt (62%)
L
Leverkusen (70%)
L
Bremen (62%)
D
Hoffenheim (70%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Union Berlin H
1 - 3 L
52%
St. Pauli A
2 - 1 W
55%
Bayern Munich H
3 - 4 L
81%
M'gladbach A
1 - 1 D
68%
Strasbourg A
0 - 4 L
57%
Freiburg H
0 - 1 L
67%
Strasbourg H
2 - 0 W
52%
Hoffenheim A
2 - 1 W
70%
Frankfurt H
2 - 1 W
62%
Olomouc H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bayern Munich H
0 - 1 L
81%
Freiburg A
1 - 1 D
72%
M'gladbach H
0 - 0 D
63%
Union Berlin A
2 - 1 W
57%
Frankfurt H
1 - 2 L
62%
Leverkusen A
3 - 6 L
70%
Bremen H
0 - 1 L
62%
Hoffenheim A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hamburg H
1 - 2 L
58%
Stuttgart A
0 - 4 L
75%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Mainz 05 holds the attacking edge with 1.5 goals per match versus Wolfsburg's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Mainz 05 conceding 1.6 and Wolfsburg conceding 1.9 per match.

Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Mainz 05 emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.4 vs 34.5) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Mainz 05

Mainz 05

VS
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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